At the end of 2025, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times in a row, sending a signal of liquidity easing. Meanwhile, the latest version of the US National Security Strategy Report initiated a deep adjustment of its foreign and trade strategies. These two major variables bring new development opportunities to textile foreign trade enterprises from multiple dimensions such as exchange rates, financing, and market access, while also concealing uncertain challenges.

Leverage cost advantages to respond to policy changes

The impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on China's textile foreign trade enterprises is direct and multi-faceted. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and director of the research institute of Guangdong Kaixin Securities, believes that during the window period when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, China's monetary policy can be more "self-centered", and the RMB exchange rate is expected to maintain resilience.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will lower global financing costs. If Chinese textile enterprises want to raise funds overseas, their financing costs will decline. This is good news for textile enterprises that plan to make overseas investments or carry out mergers and acquisitions.

The weakening of the US dollar may lead to a reduction in costs for import enterprises if they are denominated in RMB, which is a short-term positive factor. For Chinese textile enterprises, this means that the costs of importing cotton, chemical fiber raw materials and high-end equipment may decrease.

For individual consumers, a weakening of the US dollar index may lead to a relative appreciation of the RMB. This will reduce the costs of studying abroad, traveling abroad and shopping, and may in turn stimulate overseas textile consumption.

In the face of the adjustment of the US national security strategy, Chinese textile foreign trade enterprises need to be more flexible in responding to possible changes in trade policies, and at the same time make good use of the cost advantage and time window brought by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.

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